2021 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing

6-11 June 2021 • Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Extracting Knowledge from Information

2021 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing

6-11 June 2021 • Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Extracting Knowledge from Information

Technical Program

Paper Detail

Paper IDSPTM-8.1
Paper Title NONSTATIONARY PORTFOLIOS: DIVERSIFICATION IN THE SPECTRAL DOMAIN
Authors Bruno Scalzo, Alvaro Arroyo, Imperial College London, United Kingdom; Ljubisa Stankovic, University of Montenegro, Montenegro; Anthony G. Constantinides, Danilo P. Mandic, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
SessionSPTM-8: Estimation Theory and Methods 2
LocationGather.Town
Session Time:Wednesday, 09 June, 13:00 - 13:45
Presentation Time:Wednesday, 09 June, 13:00 - 13:45
Presentation Poster
Topic Signal Processing Theory and Methods: [SSP] Statistical Signal Processing
IEEE Xplore Open Preview  Click here to view in IEEE Xplore
Virtual Presentation  Click here to watch in the Virtual Conference
Abstract Classical portfolio optimization methods typically determine an optimal capital allocation through the implicit, yet critical, assumption of statistical time-invariance. Such models are inadequate for real-world markets as they employ standard time-averaging based estimators which suffer significant information loss if the market observables are non-stationary. To this end, we reformulate the portfolio optimization problem in the spectral domain to cater for the nonstationarity inherent to asset price movements and, in this way, allow for optimal capital allocations to be time-varying. Unlike existing spectral portfolio techniques, the proposed framework employs augmented complex statistics in order to exploit the interactions between the real and imaginary parts of the complex spectral variables, which in turn allows for the modelling of both harmonics and cyclostationarity in the time domain. The advantages of the proposed framework over traditional methods are demonstrated through numerical simulations using real-world price data.